Theses
Fifteen theses. Pick the ones you believe.
Moonkelp doesn’t hand you “the news” — it filters the day to what touches what you actually believe. These are the fifteen market theses it tracks. Choose yours, and every story and KPI narrows to what supports or threatens them. Threats first.
Where each one comes from — the capital behind it, how proven it is, and what would break it — is the research.See the thesis studyMoonkelp Index
- 01Proven
Stablecoins
Stablecoins are the killer app — onchain dollars become the global payments and settlement layer.
USDC · USDT · ENAView thesis - 02Partial
RWA tokenization
Bonds, funds, credit and equities move onchain as tokenized real-world assets.
ONDO · BUIDL · ETH · SOL (rail)View thesis - 03Proven
Institutional adoption
ETFs, governments and corporations bring structural long-term capital into crypto.
BTC · ETHView thesis - 04Proven
Store of value
Bitcoin is the hardest store of value against the ongoing debasement of fiat money.
BTCView thesis - 05Speculative
Crypto × AI
AI needs decentralized compute, incentive and payment layers; crypto provides them.
TAO · RENDER · NEARView thesis - 06Partial
Real yield
Protocols with real revenue route value to token holders via buybacks and fee-share — real yield, not just governance.
HYPE · AAVE · ETHFIView thesis - 07Partial
On-chain finance
Trading, lending and derivatives move onchain and displace intermediary-based TradFi rails.
HYPE · SOL · AAVE · UNIView thesis - 08Proven
Ethereum settlement
Smart-contract platforms become base infrastructure — and Ethereum wins the category on neutrality, security and liquidity.
One category, two bets — the other is High-performance chains
ETH · ETHFIView thesis - 09Partial
High-performance chains
Smart-contract platforms become base infrastructure — and high-performance, integrated chains win it; Solana leads.
One category, two bets — the other is Ethereum settlement
SOL · JTOView thesis - 10Speculative
Prediction markets
Decentralized prediction markets become information and betting infrastructure.
(Polymarket)View thesis - 11Speculative
DePIN
Token incentives build real-world infrastructure — wireless, compute, storage — cheaper than corporations.
RENDER · HNT · FILView thesis - 12Speculative
Modular infrastructure
The future is modular: specialized execution, settlement and data-availability layers.
TIA · ARB · OPView thesis - 13Speculative
Restaking
Restaked security creates new yield and security markets.
EIGEN · ETHFIView thesis - 14Partial
Privacy
Censorship resistance and privacy remain a structural core need.
XMR · ZECView thesis - 15Speculative
Attention / culture
Attention and culture are their own onchain-tradable asset class.
(rotating)View thesis
Pick yours in the app — it takes 30 seconds.
The app narrows to one to five theses; the website filter on Today works the same way, for everyone.
Perspectives, not investment advice. Theses are a lens for reading the news — not a recommendation to buy or sell anything.