Research · the receipts
We built Moonkelp on these findings. Check our work.
Moonkelp’s product thesis isn’t a hunch — it’s the conclusion of four in-depth research studies. Three measure where information actually lives — across crypto media, general news, and the financial press. The fourth maps the investment theses the market is built on. We publish all five, in full, because the argument for the product is the research.
These are the receipts: every claim on the homepage traces back to one of the five studies below.
Study 01 · 62 crypto channels
The loudest crypto channels aren’t the most useful
We scored 62 of them. Reach and value line up at r = 0.02 — statistically no link at all.
Almost everything you read is an echo of 5–10 original sources. The map shows where the real signal actually lives.
Read the studyStudy 02 · 15 market theses
The 15 big bets the crypto market runs on
Ranked by maturity and how strongly each drives the market — triangulated from 3 independent signals.
Built from investor surveys, capital allocation and search interest. 22 of 25 underlying claims verified against primary sources.
Read the studyStudy 03 · 98 news sources
In the news, bigger reach doesn’t mean better
98 German + English sources. Reach and value line up at r = 0.04 — again, no link.
Half the news world is an echo of five wire agencies. A genuinely neutral world-view takes about four sources.
Read the studyStudy 04 · 62 financial-news feeds
The best financial journalism is the hardest to use
The 5 biggest brands — Reuters, Bloomberg, WSJ, FT, Yahoo — can’t be fetched as a full-text feed. Just 8 make the app’s diet.
Reach inverts value: government primaries and public-service outlets quietly do the whole job — best journalism, worst pipeline.
Read the studyStudy 05 · 7 prediction charts
The famous Bitcoin charts, rebuilt and tested
Fitted on early data and extended without adjustment, 5 of 7 fail out of sample.
Rainbow, power law, the four-year cycle, Pi Cycle, stock-to-flow, Golden Ratio, Hash Ribbons — rebuilt from the raw price series. Two describe something real.
Read the studyPerspectives, not investment advice. Scores are reasoned editorial judgment based on the documented public record, not an objective index.